Celestia

TIAMedium Risk

Celestia modular DA layer. Only 38% circulating from 1B total. Staking inflation + team/investor vesting create extreme ongoing dilution.

$0.51

Last updated: 2026-10-09

Next Major Unlock

2026-04-01 · 83.00M tokens · 21.80% of circulatinginvestors

Upcoming supply expansion detected.

Market Cap

$496.59M

FDV

$598.14M

Daily Volume

$180.99M

30d Unlock Pressure

0.00%

90d Unlock Pressure

8.48%

Unlocks (12mo Tokens)

83.00M

Unlocks (12mo USD)

$291.00M

Annual Inflation

12.6%

Dilution Risk Score

4-factor transparent formula — no black-box scoring

31/100

MediumDilution Risk

Moderate dilution risk. Supply expansion exists but is distributed. Monitor specific unlock dates closely.

Forward Supply Growth6/25

Unlock Concentration7/25

Emissions Velocity0/25

Historical Absorption18/25

Emissions & Inflation

Staking Inflation (initial ~8%)7.9% / yr

30.00M tokens/year

Ecosystem & R&D Reserve4.7% / yr

18.00M tokens/year

Total Annual Inflation12.6%

Data Source

Data confidencehigh

Last updated2026-10-09

Full source: hand-researched from project docs, airdrop rules, and on-chain vesting contracts.

Supply Expansion Timeline

Circulating Supply Over Time

24-month forward view · Daily data aggregated monthly

HistoricalProjectedCliff

Circulating Now

978.80M

Total Supply

1.18B

Max Supply

∞ Unlimited

Unlock Calendar

Upcoming Unlocks

Next 12 events · % of current circulating supply

TeamInvestors

Date	Event	Source	Type	Amount	% Circ.	USD Value
2026-04-01	Series A/B Investor Cliff	Investors	Cliff	83.00M	8.48%	$291.0M
2026-10-01	Core Contributor Cliff	Team	Cliff	51.00M	5.21%	$179.0M
2027-04-01	Investor Year 3	Investors	Cliff	83.00M	8.48%	$291.0M

Historical Precedent

Historical Price vs. Unlock Events

Past 12 months · Vertical lines mark past unlock events

Post-Unlock Price Impact

2024-10-31·50.2% of supply

$6.80 → $4.80-29.4%

30-day price change after each past unlock event.